Derren Brown - The System (Full)
ScepticaTV · 3 則 HN 推薦
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Derren Brown's TV special in which he convinces a person he has a system for predicting horse race winners, demonstrating how survivorship bias and selective outcomes can fake predictive powers.
HN 推薦的原因： HN cites it as the classic demonstration of survivorship and confirmation bias in betting, trading and prediction claims.
“Here's an entertaining video from Derren Brown that shows how to use this technique to convince people you have psychic powers” 閱讀 HN 討論 ↗